China and America are the only nations that might be caught in the Thucydides Trap. Not true it might also ensnare China and Russia, US and Russia, China and India, Iran and Saudi Arabia and even China and France. My view is that conflict between India and China or Russia and China might be more likely because nobody expects it. Many people are aware of the possibility of a Sino-American clash and are working to prevent it. Nobody is trying to stop a Russian-Chinese conflict.Read more
That makes truly prophetic science fiction pretty extraordinary and explains why most people won’t take the genre seriously. Fortunately there are a few truly science fiction stories and novels out there. Unfortunately most of them were written by one guy: Robert A. Heinlein.Read more
There might be no better way to celebrate the Fourth of July than by partaking of that great American art form known as film.Read more
Watch the carrier race carefully because it might be beginning of a scramble for naval power among the world’s nations which can have disastrous results. Perhaps the world’s leaders should stop focusing so much time and energy on nuclear disarmament; and take some efforts to halt or reverse the proliferation of aircraft carriers. They might be the weapon with which the next war is fought.Read more
Instead of mere entertainment, Buffy the Vampire Slayer becomes a disturbing premonition of some of the darker aspects of our modern reality. That’s saying a lot for a teen series that was often ignored when it first appeared.Read more
The worst aspect of low tech utopianism is that like most idealists, its practitioners ignore human nature. Like the Communists and Libertarians the low-techers accept the delusion that human weakness can be overcome by simple idealism.
Set in a low-tech 19th Century environment most Americans would behave like Jefferson Davis; the slaving-owning Confederate President, not Thoreau. After all life on the veranda; sipping a mint julip, is far more comfortable than life in the fields.Read more
One potential danger is that Putin views all forms of modernity including Capitalism, Communism, parliamentary democracy and multiculturalism as evils that must be fought.
Another aspect of Putin’s world order is to discredit the most visible alternative to his conservative thuggery: democracy. He is doing that by trying to undermine basic institutions in the world’s most visible democracy: the United States.
A skillful use of a combination of artificial intelligence and block chain might increase the efficiency, transparency and effectiveness of government.
There are many ways that blockchain and AI can reduce the cost of government while making it more responsive to citizens. Even some age old abuses might be corrected or eliminated by these cutting edge technologies.Read more
As you can see all four waves of Technological Unemployment are ongoing and simultaneous. The phenomenon is driven by technological progress, a development that began long before our grandparents were born and will be ongoing long after our grandchildren are dead.
It also means that there are several threats to our jobs as technologies and techniques from the different waves get combined. For example an automobile, a first wave machine can be combined with a computer; a third wave device, and an artificial intelligence – a fourth wave technology – to produce a self-driving car.Read more
As you can see Revolt in 2100 is actually darker and more frightening than The Handmaid’s Tale. What’s truly astounding, pun intended, is that If This Goes On was written 77 years ago; yet it accurately predicts such developments as big data and televangelism. The Handmaid’s Tale was published in 1985 and it is in many ways hopelessly outdated.Read more