How Low can Sears Sink?

The big question to ask here is: how long can Sears operate. Theoretically it might be able to stay in business for around 21 quarters or another five years. This calculation is based on a -$1.521 billion operating loss every quarter. It would take about five years to eat through all of Sears’ revenue with a loss like that.

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Disastrous Holiday Season Looming for Retailers

Investors should pay close attention to what happens at Target and Macy’s this holiday season. Their performance; or lack of it, might show us where American retail is going and what effect Amazon is really having on the market.

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Is Dollar General’s Growth Sustainable?

Walmart’s online discounting is undercutting Dollar General’s prices and competing directly for rural customers. The recent acquisition of Jet.com gives Walmart even greater online discounting capabilities. Much of Dollar General’s success is in offering convenient local stores in small towns where there is no Walmart. Now Walmart can serve those customers without building a store. This should really worry DG investors because the National Retail Federation reported that more Americans shopped online than instore on Black Friday.

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Target’s Revenue Collapse Continues

Despite Mr. Market’s misplaced confidence, Target’s revenues have fallen by nearly three and a half billion dollars over the past year. The retailer reported revenues of $73.91 billion in October 2015 and $70.43 billion in October 2016. That indicates a major drop in sales at Target stores.

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Sears it’s Worse than We Thought

The revenue shrinkage at Sears is incredible, if it keeps up the retail icon might soon be smaller than dollar stores and rival department store operators.

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Target’s Summer of Pain, the Revenue Collapse Continues

It might be a coincidence but Jet’s revenue claims seem to match the drop in revenues at Target. In February 70% of Jet sales were from first time buyers. Particularly to worrisome to Target should be the fact that 81% of shoppers were unaware of Jet’s existence. That means it has a lot of room to grow and Walmart is now behind it.

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How Terrorism could Help Amazon, Dollar Stores squeezed by Income Inequality

A terrorist attack would wreak real havoc on US retail at a time when Macy’s (NYSE: M) is closing 100 stores and Target (NYSE: TGT) reported a $920 million decline in revenue. It would also accelerate trends that are pushing Amazon.

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Dollar Tree’s big Gamble on Family Dollar Pays off or Does It?

My take is that both Dollar Tree and Dollar General are overpriced stocks. Dollar Tree is a slightly safer investment because it has more cash but neither is a good long-term investment. The market they are in is simply too competitive and unstable to support their business models.

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Is Big Lots Doomed?

That leads me to reiterate an opinion I’ve expressed about Big Lots before, this company is simply not generating enough cash to survive. My prediction is that this chain will either collapse or merge with another retailer, unless it can greatly increase its cash flow.

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Kroger’s Threat to Walmart, Target, Costco and Amazon Revealed

The Marketplace is also a potential threat to Amazon because it could be used as a combination store and fulfillment center; something that Kroger’s King Soopers subsidiary is already experimenting with in Denver. I’ve actually been shopping there and seen employees pulling online orders from the shelves.

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