Market Mad House

In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

Dollar General (NYSE: DG)

Grocery Wars

Is Dollar General’s Growth Sustainable?

Walmart’s online discounting is undercutting Dollar General’s prices and competing directly for rural customers. The recent acquisition of Jet.com gives Walmart even greater online discounting capabilities. Much of Dollar General’s success is in offering convenient local stores in small towns where there is no Walmart. Now Walmart can serve those customers without building a store. This should really worry DG investors because the National Retail Federation reported that more Americans shopped online than instore on Black Friday.

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Grocery Wars

Target’s Revenue Collapse Continues

Despite Mr. Market’s misplaced confidence, Target’s revenues have fallen by nearly three and a half billion dollars over the past year. The retailer reported revenues of $73.91 billion in October 2015 and $70.43 billion in October 2016. That indicates a major drop in sales at Target stores.

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The Death Spiral

Sears it’s Worse than We Thought

The revenue shrinkage at Sears is incredible, if it keeps up the retail icon might soon be smaller than dollar stores and rival department store operators.

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The Death Spiral

Target’s Summer of Pain, the Revenue Collapse Continues

It might be a coincidence but Jet’s revenue claims seem to match the drop in revenues at Target. In February 70% of Jet sales were from first time buyers. Particularly to worrisome to Target should be the fact that 81% of shoppers were unaware of Jet’s existence. That means it has a lot of room to grow and Walmart is now behind it.

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Market Insanity

How Terrorism could Help Amazon, Dollar Stores squeezed by Income Inequality

A terrorist attack would wreak real havoc on US retail at a time when Macy’s (NYSE: M) is closing 100 stores and Target (NYSE: TGT) reported a $920 million decline in revenue. It would also accelerate trends that are pushing Amazon.

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Market Insanity

Dollar Tree’s big Gamble on Family Dollar Pays off or Does It?

My take is that both Dollar Tree and Dollar General are overpriced stocks. Dollar Tree is a slightly safer investment because it has more cash but neither is a good long-term investment. The market they are in is simply too competitive and unstable to support their business models.

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The Death Spiral

Is Big Lots Doomed?

That leads me to reiterate an opinion I’ve expressed about Big Lots before, this company is simply not generating enough cash to survive. My prediction is that this chain will either collapse or merge with another retailer, unless it can greatly increase its cash flow.

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Grocery Wars

Kroger’s Threat to Walmart, Target, Costco and Amazon Revealed

The Marketplace is also a potential threat to Amazon because it could be used as a combination store and fulfillment center; something that Kroger’s King Soopers subsidiary is already experimenting with in Denver. I’ve actually been shopping there and seen employees pulling online orders from the shelves.

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Opportunities

Amazon is Unstoppable or is it?

Naturally investors will wonder if anybody could compete with Amazon. Interestingly enough there is one potential threat to Amazon – the combination of Walmart and Jet.com.

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Grocery Wars

Is Dollar General’s Growth Sustainable?

Dollar General (NYSE: DG) just reported another quarter of phenomenal revenue growth. That raises the question: is the company making enough money to sustain; or justify, its ambitious expansion plans?

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