Will Big Lots Survive?

One thing is for certain, Big Lots was definitely overvalued at the $49.16 a share it was fetching on March 30, 2017. Nothing in its earnings report or holdings warrants that. Not even the 25¢ dividend which shareholders received on March 15, 2017. Stay away from Big Lots, it is overpriced and exposed to dangerous competitors that will soon destroy its business.

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Is Overstock.com a Good Investment?

Shared-ledger based equities might be a good idea, but is Overstock.com a good investment? The answer, from a value investor’s perspective is no.

A brief look at the financials provided by ycharts shows that Overstock is a pretty lousy stock. That raises the possibility tØ is simply a gimmick designed to unload a few shares of a lousy stock on the public.

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Is Etsy Making Money?

Such numbers might be fine for a pre-IPO unicorn, but they’re horrible for a publically traded company. To me at least Etsy looks like a circa 1999 dot.com company that is ready to go crash. All it would take is one negative earnings report or some really bad news to send Etsy spinning into the death spiral.

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Is Big Lots Doomed?

That leads me to reiterate an opinion I’ve expressed about Big Lots before, this company is simply not generating enough cash to survive. My prediction is that this chain will either collapse or merge with another retailer, unless it can greatly increase its cash flow.

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Big Lots: the Little Discount Store that Could

Interestingly enough the biggest threat to Big Lots, could be Overstock.com; which can be considered Big Lots’ closest competitor. Like Big Lots, Overstock has seen steady revenue growth in recent years. The online close out store’s revenue grew from $1.554 billion in March 2015 to $1.673 billion in March 2016.

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