In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche
Rite Aid’s appeal to Walgreen Boots Alliance can be summed up in just word: revenue. Walgreen gets an extra $32.64 billion in potential revenue; for an investment of just $9.14 billion, which sounds like a pretty good deal to me.
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My take is that Kroger is most likely to make a big acquisition outside the grocery business unless it can get a major grocer that would expand its geographic reach. The most logical acquisition for Kroger outside the grocery business would be Rite Aid. Even if it does not make an acquisition, Kroger is still a great value investment because of its profits.
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Yes it is a bit of a dark horse, but Rite Aid does meet some of Warren Buffett’s value criteria: it is a good company that has been going through a rough patch yet still has the potential to generate a lot of cash. It also has an easy-to-understand business model in a decidedly unglamorous industry—selling shaving cream and prescriptions. Rite Aid also meets another one of Uncle Warren’s classic criteria: it is a company that an idiot could run if necessary.
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What’s more intriguing is that Uncle Warren himself seemed to confirm such speculations with a cryptic remark to MSNBC. After calling Exxon a “wonderful company,” he said, “We thought we might have other uses for the money.”
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