See the Retail Apocalypse at JC Penney

Moreover, JC Penney’s debt was over 10 times the size of its July 2, 2019; market capitalization of $345.33 million. Given these figures, I cannot see how JC Penney can pay off those debts.

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Is Bed Bath & Beyond Dying?

We can sum Bed Bath & Beyond’s woes up in three words; Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Wayfair (NYSEL W), and Walmart (NYSE: WMT).

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Can AutoNation Survive Falling Car Sales?

Sales figures show that US car sales are collapsing. In fact, CleanTechnica estimates American car sales for every non-US automaker fell between May 2018 and May 2019.

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Sears is suing Lampert and the US Treasury Secretary

Thus, circumstances support the lawsuits allegations that Lampert and other insiders were conspiring to strip Sears of assets. The stripping allegedly includes hundreds of millions of dollars in rent and leases Seritage charges Sears.

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Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) Die this Holiday Season?

The situation is not that bleak for Abercrombie & Fitch because of the clothing market’s decentralized nature. To clarify, there is more than enough market share for Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to survive.

Notably, Amazon Prime had 95 million subscribers in June 2018 up from 85 million in June 2017, Statista calculates. Thus, Amazon Prime is the fastest growing and most important retail outlet in America.

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Desperate Sears Holdings is auctioning debt in the Hallway

Debt is not the only thing, Sears Holdings is trying to unload. The Chicago Tribune reports Sears is seeking buyers for 505 stores.

If a buyer cannot be found for the stores by December 5, 2018, (next Wednesday) Sears could liquidate the locations. Notably, Sears Holdings is seeking bids on the liquidation of the stores as well.

Sears is planning to sell or liquidate most of its locations if The Tribune is correct. Sears operated 866 stores in August 2018, USA Today estimates. In detail there were 506 Sears’ stores and 360 Kmart outlets in operation over the summer.

However, that number has probably shrunk because of recent closings. Notably, Sears planned to close 13 Kmarts and 33 Sears stores in November. Hence Sears is probably operating around 820 stores.

Thus Sears is planning to shrink its footprint to 315 stores if The Tribune and USA Today are correct. Under those circumstances, most of the company’s stores will close.

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Will JC Penney (JCP) Die this Holiday Season?

The 2018-2019 Holiday Season could kill two of the most historic names in American retail, Sears (OTMKT: SHLDQ) and JC

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Why Macy’s (M) could die

The Macy’s brand may not die, but Macy’s as we know it is dying. Macy’s will have to completely transform its business model just to survive.

Macy’s investors enjoyed a dividend yield of 4.13%, an annualized payout of $1.51, and a payout ratio of 38.4% on 8 November 2018. That’s superb for a $37.78 a share stock.
Macy’s is planning a 37.7¢ dividend for January 2, 2019. However, that dividend has not increased since June 2017.

Under these circumstances, Macy’s is a respectable dividend stock, but it is too risky for long-term investment. For instance, I think the Macy’s dividend will soon decrease or disappear.

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Sears Bankruptcy caused by Lack of Cash

The obvious conclusion is that these retailers, like Sears, become overextended and one quarter away from the Death Spiral. To clarify, the retail Death Spiral occurs when a company cannot generate enough cash to pay its debts.
In today’s environment, however, credit is so cheap retailers can avoid the death spiral by borrowing. When the loans come due, the retailers borrow more.
Under those circumstances, there is no incentive for retailers to modernize, close money-losing locations, or change their inventories. Instead, they keep operating like it is still 1988 until they can longer pay their debts.
A classic example of that was The Bon-Ton Stores (OTC: BONTQ) a department store operator that died earlier in 2018. Markedly, Bon-Ton was hiring extra staff for Christmas season 2017, a few months before they liquidated it. Astoundingly, Bon-Ton is “poised for a comeback” under the direction of delusional management, USA Today claims.

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