Market Mad House

In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

American Express

Long Ideas

Beijing’s New Open Door Bodes Well for Alibaba and Other Online Retailers

Other organizations that could benefit could be Netflix, Etsy (NASDAQ: ETSY), Sears (NYSE: SHLD), Staples (NASDAQ: SPLS), Best Buy (NYSE: BB) and Walmart (NYSE: WMT). All of these retailers could get access to the $404 billion Chinese market through alliances with Alibaba and stores on Tmall. Walmart, which already has a presence in China and a working relationship with Alibaba, could be in a great position here.

Read More
Long Ideas

Is Lending Club Really Bubble Proof?

To be fair, there are some signs Lending Club is starting to make money. According to its financials, Lending Club had $64.6 million in cash and short-term investments when it went public. Yet on March 31, 2015, Lending Club had $874.13 million in cash and short-term investments. That shows us that it is capable of generating a lot of cash in a very short period of time, but can it keep that up?

Read More
Crazy StocksStocks

Target Switches Gears in the Grocery Aisle

hat gives Target more control over pricing and promotion and increases its ability to offer special discounts or promotions to loyal customers; for example, lower prices to those who use its popular shopping apps and credit cards. This strategy has worked well for Kroger, which often undercuts Walmart Stores Inc.’s (NYSE: WMT) prices with its house brands. A similar strategy has worked well for Costco Wholesale Inc. (NASDAQ: COST), which heavily pushes its store brands.

Read More
My Thoughts

Argentina Shows Just How Disruptive Bitcoin Could Be

It looks as if bitcoin could have a future in the real world, and that could be the most disruptive development yet. We may need to completely rethink our concept of money and our ideas of economics because of it.

Read More
Market Insanity

Is Bank of Internet a Value Investment?

The number of delinquent loan balances at BOFI doubled between June 30, 2014, and September 30, 2014, which indicates that the bank’s loan book could quickly melt down.

Read More
Good Stocks

US Credit Card Companies Allowed into China

The loss of Costco Canada is already hurting American Express, where revenue fell slightly between December 2014 and March 2015. AmEx reported a TTM revenue of $34.04 billion on March 31, down from $34.29 billion on December 31. The loss of Costco Canada hit American Express hard because the club store giant is huge in Canada, as anybody who visits the country knows.

Read More
Market Insanity

Lilly Pulitzer Mess Shows What’s Wrong at Target

It is no coincidence that Amazon reported a TTM revenue growth rate of 15.08% on March 31, while Target and Walmart’s sales were staying flat. America’s middle class has changed its shopping habits dramatically in the past decade.

Read More
Long Ideas

What Will PayPal Do Next?

Something else that is also obvious is that PayPal would be an acquisition target; purchasing it would give a large bank, retailer or credit card company access to a vast financial network and tens of millions of potential customers.

Read More