Market Mad House

In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI)

The Junk Pile

Can Sirius XM Survive without Howard Stern?

I think Stern could go to Spotify because Spotify could offer him a larger audience. Remember, Howard is an egomaniac who calls himself the King of All Media. Hence, Stern wants the biggest audience possible.

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Opportunities

Will Sirius and Pandora Make Money?

Therefore, it is easy to see why Sirius is buying Pandora. A combined Sirius-Pandora could have 109.33 million listeners. On the other hand, Sirius and Pandora’s biggest competitor Spotify has around 58.5 million listeners in 2018.

Moreover, Spotify will not match Pandora’s listener base soon. Statista; for example, calculates that Spotify will have 76.7 million listeners in 2022.

Value investors will be interested in Sirius and Pandora because of the low price and huge audience. Under these circumstances, we have to ask will Sirius and Pandora make money?

In Pandora’s case the answer is no. For instance, Pandora reported a net loss of -$99.45 million and an operating loss of -$94.14 million for 2nd Quarter 2018. Markedly, Pandora generated $384.79 million in revenues and a gross profit of $125.21 million for 2nd Quarter.

In addition, Pandora recorded a negative free cash flow of -$50.94 million, a negative operating cash flow of -$49.36 million, a negative investing cash flow of -$111.34 million, and a negative financing cash flow of -$2.29 million for the same period.

Obviously, Pandora is incapable of making money from its operations. Pandora is losing money because it has to pay for almost all of its content music.

To make matters worse, Pandora gives the music it pays for free away online. By and large, that is a great deal for stars like Beyonce, whom Pandora pays for the privilege of promoting her songs.

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