So yes, there is a Thucydides Trap, but is the Thucydides Trap Inevitable? Unfortunately, history offers no obvious answers to this question.
Moreover, today’s great powers are deploying dangerous and poorly understood new military technologies, as in 1914. In today’s world; though, the most destructive of those technologies could be artificial intelligence.Read more
China and America are the only nations that might be caught in the Thucydides Trap. Not true it might also ensnare China and Russia, US and Russia, China and India, Iran and Saudi Arabia and even China and France. My view is that conflict between India and China or Russia and China might be more likely because nobody expects it. Many people are aware of the possibility of a Sino-American clash and are working to prevent it. Nobody is trying to stop a Russian-Chinese conflict.Read more
One of the scariest big ideas out there comes from a Greek historian who died around 2,400 years ago. The idea is called the Thucydides Trap, and it explains why the United States and China could end up going to war over some worthless specks of dirt in the South China Sea.Read more