In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche
The loss of Costco Canada is already hurting American Express, where revenue fell slightly between December 2014 and March 2015. AmEx reported a TTM revenue of $34.04 billion on March 31, down from $34.29 billion on December 31. The loss of Costco Canada hit American Express hard because the club store giant is huge in Canada, as anybody who visits the country knows.
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It is no coincidence that Amazon reported a TTM revenue growth rate of 15.08% on March 31, while Target and Walmart’s sales were staying flat. America’s middle class has changed its shopping habits dramatically in the past decade.
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Walmart has figured out how to make a successful small box format. Companies like Dollar Tree Stores (NASDAQ: DLTR) and Dollar General (NYSE: DG) as well as regional grocers had better take notice. Walmart has proven itself capable of producing a better small box store.
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Those that dismiss Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR) as just a grocer are definitely missing the big picture. Kroger is now
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The only U.S. retailer that reported more TTM revenue growth than Walmart was Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN). The online giant’s TTM revenue grew by $14.45 billion between December 2014 and December 2015. Amazon reported a TTM revenue of $74.45 billion in December 2014 that grew to $88.99 billion by December 2015.
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This could indicate that traditional banking might no longer be a viable business because of the alternatives available. Things could soon get worse because PayPal is about to get spun off from eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) and transformed into an independent financial services company that will compete directly with banks.
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My take is that Kroger is most likely to make a big acquisition outside the grocery business unless it can get a major grocer that would expand its geographic reach. The most logical acquisition for Kroger outside the grocery business would be Rite Aid. Even if it does not make an acquisition, Kroger is still a great value investment because of its profits.
Read MoreWe now have a glut of oil, and there’s a very good chance we’ll have a glut of water in a few decades after we implement all the new technology.
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Walmart is no longer on the cutting edge of retail; it cannot even compete with bottom-feeding dollar stores. The Behemoth from Bentonville still makes a lot of money; it just cannot attract any new customers. What is going on here?
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Yes it is a bit of a dark horse, but Rite Aid does meet some of Warren Buffett’s value criteria: it is a good company that has been going through a rough patch yet still has the potential to generate a lot of cash. It also has an easy-to-understand business model in a decidedly unglamorous industry—selling shaving cream and prescriptions. Rite Aid also meets another one of Uncle Warren’s classic criteria: it is a company that an idiot could run if necessary.
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