Market Mad House

In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

Dollar Tree Stores (NASDAQ: DLTR)

Grocery Wars

Is Dollar Tree Making Money?

Even with a good holiday season, Dollar Tree may lack the resources to survive or even remain competitive. It reported revenues of just $21.52 billion in October 2017.

Read More
Market Insanity

How Terrorism could Help Amazon, Dollar Stores squeezed by Income Inequality

A terrorist attack would wreak real havoc on US retail at a time when Macy’s (NYSE: M) is closing 100 stores and Target (NYSE: TGT) reported a $920 million decline in revenue. It would also accelerate trends that are pushing Amazon.

Read More
The Death Spiral

Is Big Lots Doomed?

That leads me to reiterate an opinion I’ve expressed about Big Lots before, this company is simply not generating enough cash to survive. My prediction is that this chain will either collapse or merge with another retailer, unless it can greatly increase its cash flow.

Read More
Grocery Wars

Dollar Tree’s Family Dollar Gamble is Paying Off

Dollar Tree is in a little better shape, but it will still need several quarters of revenue growth to approach stability. The limited amount of float it carries; puts Dollar Tree in a vulnerable position in a rapidly changing retail environment.

Read More
Crazy StocksStocks

Dollar Tree and Family Dollar One Year Later: How are they doing?

Incomes for Dollar Tree’s target market, the lower class, fell even more. Pew reported that the average lower class household made $26,496 a year in 2000 and $24,074 in 2014. That is a $2,422 drop in income, meaning that the average lower-class household’s income has fallen by 10% in 15 years.

Read More
Long Ideas

Could Aldi Kill the Dollar Stores?

Aldi is a potent force that is already changing the American grocery business. It may not threaten the big guys, but Aldi will certainly change how and where Americans shop for milk and potato chips.

Read More
Crazy StocksStocks

Five Below: Is This Discounter Growing Too Fast?

One danger that online retailers such as Amazon.com present to Five Below is that they take away higher-income customers that spend more. Middle- and upper-class shoppers with higher incomes and credit cards are more likely to shop online even for items like groceries and household supplies. That reduces the number of potential customers and, worse, leaves the discount chains to fight over customers with limited amounts of money.

Read More
Market Commentary

Walmart and the Limits of Discounting

What this seems to indicate is not that Amazon is stealing business from Walmart but instead it is stealing revenue growth. Basically, the additional revenue in the economy that would have normally flowed to Walmart and other big box retailers seems to be flowing to Amazon.

Read More