In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche
It looks as if the road to an all-electric automobile fleet could be a far rockier one than we thought. The performance and popularity of electrics may have to grow dramatically to get them into your local dealership.
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It looks as if there is no tech bubble; instead, there seems to be individual bubbles surrounding specific stocks. That situation does not look as dangerous as an across the board bubble, but it does indicate a far higher level of market volatility than is being reported.
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Volkswagen might also be a very undervalued stock. It had an enterprise value of $188.32 billion and a market cap of $99.39 billion on August 6, 2015, which indicates that its share price of $208.91 was too low.
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Even Warren Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) owns the iconic GEICO, has taken notice of the potential havoc this disruptive technology could wreak on insurers.
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In today’s world, electric cars could soon be cost competitive and high performance while oil companies are struggling to survive.
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One reason for this system is to make it easier to insure self-driving vehicles. Such standards will be vital if insurers are to develop policies for autonomous vehicles.
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My prediction is that battery-powered electrics will only win if larger car makers try to commercialize them. One has to wonder which of these technologies will end up alongside the Stanley Steamer as a footnote in automotive history.
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The most astounding prediction in the report is that it would take 2 hours and 45 minutes for hyperloop to get you from Los Angeles to New York. If that projection were to come true the airline industry would basically be toast
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The whole telematics issue raises the interesting question of whether auto insurers are still a good investment. Value investors like Warren Buffett have long thought of auto insurers that way because of all the float their premiums generate, but is that still true in the face of all the competition in today’s insurance industry?
Read MoreBoth Tesla and SolarCity are losing a lot of money, and both could be in serious trouble if Mr. Musk cannot figure out a way to start generate cash and a lot of it—and fast. Musk has taken a very bold gamble here; he’s essentially betting two of his companies on a fundamental shift in the way the world gets electricity. If that change does not occur, both Tesla and SolarCity will find themselves caught in the death spiral.
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