Market Mad House

In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

Charley Munger

Long Ideas

Alibaba Proves It Has Some Value

That gave Alibaba a quarterly year to year revenue growth rate of 38.39%, over twice that of Amazon.com, which reported a revenue growth rate of 15.08% on March 31, 2015. Alibaba’s growth rate also far exceeded that of eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY), which reported a rate of 4.36% on March 31, 2015, Best Buy NYSE: BBY), which reported a revenue growth rate of 2.82% on January 31, 2015, and Staples (NASDAQ: SPLS), which reported a negative revenue growth rate of -3.69% on Jan. 31, 2015.

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Good Stocks

US Credit Card Companies Allowed into China

The loss of Costco Canada is already hurting American Express, where revenue fell slightly between December 2014 and March 2015. AmEx reported a TTM revenue of $34.04 billion on March 31, down from $34.29 billion on December 31. The loss of Costco Canada hit American Express hard because the club store giant is huge in Canada, as anybody who visits the country knows.

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Market Insanity

Lilly Pulitzer Mess Shows What’s Wrong at Target

It is no coincidence that Amazon reported a TTM revenue growth rate of 15.08% on March 31, while Target and Walmart’s sales were staying flat. America’s middle class has changed its shopping habits dramatically in the past decade.

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Long Ideas

What Will PayPal Do Next?

Something else that is also obvious is that PayPal would be an acquisition target; purchasing it would give a large bank, retailer or credit card company access to a vast financial network and tens of millions of potential customers.

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My Thoughts

PayPal and Prosper Changing Banking Beyond Recognition

This could indicate that traditional banking might no longer be a viable business because of the alternatives available. Things could soon get worse because PayPal is about to get spun off from eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) and transformed into an independent financial services company that will compete directly with banks.

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My Thoughts

California’s Megadrought, Why There’s No Water Shortage and Why the Market Could Be the Solution

We now have a glut of oil, and there’s a very good chance we’ll have a glut of water in a few decades after we implement all the new technology.

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Market Insanity

Is This Newspaper Company Warren Buffett’s Next Acquisition Target?

My prediction is that Buffett will make a bid for Tribune Publishing sometime this year. It seems like too tempting a bargain for him to pass up, and it operates in an industry he is passionate about: newspapers.

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Uncategorized

Walmart Feels the Heat

Walmart is no longer on the cutting edge of retail; it cannot even compete with bottom-feeding dollar stores. The Behemoth from Bentonville still makes a lot of money; it just cannot attract any new customers. What is going on here?

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Market Commentary

Who Else Would Acquire Rite Aid?

Yes it is a bit of a dark horse, but Rite Aid does meet some of Warren Buffett’s value criteria: it is a good company that has been going through a rough patch yet still has the potential to generate a lot of cash. It also has an easy-to-understand business model in a decidedly unglamorous industry—selling shaving cream and prescriptions. Rite Aid also meets another one of Uncle Warren’s classic criteria: it is a company that an idiot could run if necessary.

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