Market Mad House

In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

Sears (NASDAQ: SHLD)

Crazy Stocks

TJX makes more Money Lays off Workers

By then TJX will be America’s dominant department store and a pretty good value investment. The experience at TJX proves that retail apocalypse is actually good for some brands. One has to wonder why more retailers are not copying TJX’s business model of deep discounting, and taking over from dying competitors.

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The Death Spiral

Is McDonald’s the New Sears?

This makes Sears and McDonald’s the opposite of value investments, because you will lose money with them. Stay away from Sears and McDonalds they are great American brands doomed by greedy and perhaps incompetent management.

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Market Insanity

Are Home Improvement Stores a Bubble?

Is improvement really a growth industry or is it a bubble? After all The Home Depot had 2,274 stores in February 2016, and Lowes and its subsidiaries were operating 2,365 locations in 2015. That adds up to 4,639 stores which raises the obvious question: how many stores can the market support.

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The Death Spiral

Will the Retail Apocalypse Kill Department Stores?

The retail apocalypse is about to get far worse and the great American institution known as department stores might soon be history. Take your children to the mall and the department stores now so they can say they saw one. You might not have a chance to show them those palaces of retail in just a few years.

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Grocery Wars

Is Warren Buffett Right about Walmart?

Buffett likes Amazon and dislikes Walmart. Something that a lot of us stock geeks overlook is that Buffett has been bullish on Amazon for a long time. Uncle Warren has never been fond of the Everything Store’s stock, but he’s been investing in the company’s debt for a long time. He bought $98.3 million worth of its junk bonds back in 2003. Therefore Buffett was an Amazon bull long before it was fashionable. He’s also on record as a Jeff Bezos fan.

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The Death Spiral

Target’s Summer of Pain, the Revenue Collapse Continues

It might be a coincidence but Jet’s revenue claims seem to match the drop in revenues at Target. In February 70% of Jet sales were from first time buyers. Particularly to worrisome to Target should be the fact that 81% of shoppers were unaware of Jet’s existence. That means it has a lot of room to grow and Walmart is now behind it.

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The Death Spiral

Treading Water is good; JC Penney demonstrates how Awful Retail is

JC Penney (NYSE: JCP) is demonstrating how awful things are for brick and mortar retail with its revenues. Tiny revenue

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Grocery Wars

US Retail Sales Stagnant

Americans have become far more selective about their spending; and old-fashioned 1980s style conspicuous consumption and shopping for shopping’s sake is out. Americans are shopping less and spending only on the things they really need or care about.

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Long Ideas

Lowe’s proves Home Improvement is a Safe Investment in the Midst of Retail Apocalypse

If you are looking a retailer to buy and hold for a long time, I’d recommend Lowe’s. It has a wide moat, a lot of cash, lots of float growing revenues and great growth prospects. At $77.06 a share, Lowe’s is also a bargain when compared to Home Depot’s $126.4 stock price. Lowe’s is definitely the value investment in home improvement.

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