“At Berkshire, the whole is greater – considerably greater – than the sum of the parts.” – Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Taken from the 2018 shareholder letter.Read more
Therefore, California could limit the amount of float, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) brings in by changing the way auto insurance rates calculated. For instance, women could pay less and men more through gender-neutral auto insurance.Read more
Companies are likely to pull out of reinsurance because of Climate Change. Under those circumstances, publicly-traded insurers are likely to go private or sell out to hedge funds.
Property owners will face rising premiums because insurance companies operating costs are increasing. Reinsurance firms like Gen Re and Aspen underwrite property and other insurance properties. Consequently, insurers will pass higher reinsurance costs onto policyholders.
In summary, sell the beachfront and forest properties now. Prices for such properties are likely to plummet as insurance costs rise.
Billionaires like Kimmel and Buffett are outliers in Climate Change losses. They can afford to take a loss on beach property, most homeowners cannot.Read more
My prediction is that Buffett will buy up lower priced stocks of cash-rich dividend paying companies. Since there are lots of those out there it is hard to predict what will catch his eye.
Berkshire will be confine major investments to private equity, which is booming right now. Likely, private equity targets for Berkshire Hathaway include Lyft, Instacart, and Airbnb.
Lyft and Airbnb which both have the potential to generate a lot of cash will attract Uncle Warren’s attention. Instacart, which has escaped attention by operating in an unsexy; but huge, market groceries might catch Buffett’s eye.
Those who doubt that American stocks might be in a potentially catastrophic bubble need to take a look at the Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU). The railroad makes little money, yet its stock is dangerously overpriced.Read more
The potential of this are absolutely staggering. Just a few of the things Uncle Warren can do with all that cash include:
Buy America’s second largest grocer; Kroger (NYSE: KR), outright and still have $75.56 billion left in the bank. That’s amazing because Kroger reported revenues of $118.05 billion on 31 July 2017. Kroger had an enterprise value of $32.74 billion on November 10, 2017.
Between February 2016 and February 2017, Rite Aid’s revenues increased by $2.11 billion. The revenues rose from $30.74 billion in 2016 to $32.85 billion in 2017. There’s a lot of cash flowing through Rite Aid that might make somebody a lot of money if he can figure out how to capture it.Read more
There is one scary figure in Berkshire’s first quarter results and that’s cash and short-term investments. Why has Uncle Warren stashed $96.46 billion in the bank?
An obvious and frightening reason is that Buffett and crew think the U.S. economy is on shaky economic ground. They think something is about to give in the American economy, and when it does they plan to go shopping.Read more
Naturally this piques the interest of value investors, if eBay is an unfashionable company that makes money; it meets some classic Ben Graham criteria for a value bargain. That means we will need to ask the all-important question here: is eBay making money?Read more
That’s what makes it a widows and orphans stock, no matter what happens it will make money for the foreseeable future perhaps the next 10 years or so. This reminds me of another major Buffett investment; Walmart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT). Like Apple, Walmart has so much money $483.83 billion in revenues in June 2016; that it can survive what would be catastrophic losses for the average company several times over.Read more