Market Mad House

In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche

Alibaba Holdings (NYSE: BABA)

Market Insanity

Will Trade War Destroy Alibaba?

A possibility that all investors need to consider is that Trump, Xi, and possibly Ma are putting on a show for the media. Their conflict might be a “work” one of the acts professional wrestlers put on to generate audience interest. Most wrestling works involve creating a fake conflict to add drama to a match.

Remember, Trump has had some experience with wrestling; he appeared in WWE about a decade ago. The Donald even had a fake match involving Vince McMahon and Stone Cold Steve Austin. For this reason, I think the “trade war” is fake news.

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Market Commentary

Is Alibaba Holdings Making Money?

Such figures make the case for Alibaba as a growth and a value investment. China is becoming a middle class nation and Alibaba is its department store. Just as Sears was America’s department store in the 20th Century.
Upwardly mobile Chinese will buy the trappings of their middle class lifestyle from Alibaba. Just as upwardly mobile Americans religiously shopped at Sears in the 1960s and 1970s.

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The Death Spiral

How are Office Supply Stores Surviving?

Staples is definitely an acquisition target because its purchaser would get around 1,225 stores and $17.30 billion in revenues for a low price. Staples reported a stock value of $10.10 a share, a market cap of $6.597 billion and an enterprise value of $6.597 billion on June 29, 2017.

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Grocery Wars

Ten Threats to Amazon

Netflix loses money like crazy but it has built up a global platform for delivery of digital products. A danger is that Netflix might start selling products like video games, software, insurance, or financial services in addition to video entertainment. Another is that Netflix might team up with a retailer to start selling goods through its platform. A grave danger for Amazon would be Walmart or Alibaba buying Netflix and offering a Prime type delivery and entertainment option through it.

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Opportunities

Apple Pay can Change your Mind and India

Electronic payment methods like credit cards do involve an obvious physical loss so they lead to less psychological pain. That’s one reason why banks like payment apps; they might lead to more overdraft fees and interest payments and more profits for banks. It’s also why Walmart (NYSE: WMT) was so quick to roll out Walmart Pay, to get people buying more.

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Opportunities

Payfully Hopes to Cash in on Gig Economy and Airbnb Lending

Payfully makes its lending decisions based upon Airbnb data. That way it makes loans to those with a track record of making of money on Airbnb. If the model works as advertised it will be able to identify potential borrowers with strong cash flow but poor credit ratings.

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Long Ideas

Why Walmart is a Great Contrarian Play

A Walmart press release stated that use of the app increased by 45% during its first week of use. Walmart Pay is a potential cash cow because Ant Financial; the Alibaba Holdings’ (NYSE: BABA) spinoff that operates Ali Pay, has an estimated value of $60 billion.

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Good StocksGrocery WarsLong Ideas

Ten Things that Walmart has Gotten Right about Ecommerce

Entering the payment arena with Walmart Pay. One of Walmart’s underappreciated capabilities is its ability to process vast numbers of payments quickly and efficiently. The company is greatly increasing its payment capabilities with Walmart Pay; a contactless payment solution similar to Apple Pay.

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Market Insanity

Does Groupon Have a Future?

Naturally, investors will want to know if Groupon makes money or has other value. This question is being driven by news that Alibaba Holdings (NYSE: BABA) has been quietly buying Groupon’s shares. People are wondering if Jack Ma knows something that we do not.

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